The ice freezing waves of recession had frozen the prospects of Indian industrial growth after September 2008.Indian industries have to cut short production, rescheduling the production, stopped investments in new projects and finally followed the gate of retrenchments. No vacancy was the song being played on the streets of Indian corporate houses.
The 3rd quarter results are all set to get out from the second week of January. Lot of predications and calculations as well as bets are being held on different sectors prospects. In this article I will like to dig out the invisible facts, trends and insight which we will provide us some light inside the deep fog of 3rd quarter results.
The Indian automobile industry is performing with a consistency cap on its head. It has again plucked off another feather to decorate its growth hat. The automobile sector in India surprisingly did well and outperformed our expectations in terms of sales growth during 2009.When the western economies were struggling to survive their big auto giant’s Indian economy propelled to the path of growth on strong growth of auto sector in India.
China property market has now become a bubble. This is now turned into a fear which is expected to burst and shake the world economic recovery in the coming days. But now we can be relaxed to a certain degree that China have recognized this rising dragon and is making polices to control the dragon.
Indian demand for steel consumption is increasing in the coming days. We get proof of the putting when we analyzed and found that steel players like JSW Steel and Essar Steel are increasing their focus on opening up more retail outlets pan India with growth in domestic demand. JSW Steel currently has 50 such steel retail outlets called JSW Shoppe and is targeting to increase it to 200 by March 2010. They expect at least 10-15%of their total production to be sold by their retail outlets. Huge flow of investments will happen in the coming days in the steel sector due to increasing trend of domestic consumption.
The world economic recovery has finally started taking new baby steps. This has lead to increase of demand of commodities. Infrastructure will be the prime reason for the recovery journey. This is the only sector which will lead the path of global economic recovery. When share views on infrastructure we get many sectors being clubbed to them. Banks, Cements, Steel, Capital Goods, Construction are the prime industries which are linked with infrastructure growth.
Banking trouble never seems to end for the world. Even despite of pumping huge funds to bailout and buying up crisis lead bank mortgage assets the story still remains to be unfolding few funds more to be spent. This time the number have taken a growth in European banks (ECB).European countries have been trying to hard to come out of the crisis of recession which have jeopardized theirs future economic growth.
When the market started and I was listening CNBC TV Suddenly around 11 am Udayan Mukherjee of CNBC TV jumped of his seat and shocked to find the GDP numbers of India. Within few minutes India was into a roller coaster ride. July-Sept GDP up 7.9%. Economist and all market speculators are having their eyes coming out of shock. Before I get into further analysis just a quick look into the break up of India GDP figures.
It’s true that an equity investment fetches much higher returns as compared to other investment avenues. But just remember what happened to your tax saving funds when the Indian equity markets went for a rock bottom decline. We find that all the NAV of the major tax saving funds having exposure in equity went for a cascading fall in their NAV values.
After 31st March 2010 Indian banks will have to adhere to the Basel II norms. India had adopted Basel I guidelines in 1999. Later on in February 2005 the RBI had issued draft guidelines for implementing a New Capital Adequacy Framework, in line with Basel II. The deadline for implementing Basel II, originally set for March 31, 2007, has now been extended. Foreign banks in India and Indian banks operating abroad will have to adhere to the guidelines by March 31, 2009.
